Petroleum coke imports in Q1 2025 increased by 10.64% YoY, and imports in Q2 are expected to rise first and then decline [SMM Analysis].
Entering Q2, refinery maintenance further increased, and domestic supply continued to decline. However, with the arrival of previously shipped goods, port petroleum coke inventories began to enter a buildup cycle. Demand-side performance was weak, with downstream enterprises lacking purchasing motivation, and US-China trade frictions also cooled traders' buying sentiment, creating a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. However, considering shipping schedules and the arrival of previous orders, SMM expects petroleum coke imports in Q2 to still increase MoM. In the long term, with the continuation of trade frictions and further adjustments in domestic market supply and demand, subsequent petroleum coke imports are expected to decline.