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SHFE/LME Price Ratio Rebounds, but Import Window Remains Closed [SMM Weekly Review on SHFE/LME Zinc Price Ratio]

  • Feb 28, 2025, at 7:44 am
[SHFE/LME Price Ratio Rebounds but Import Window Remains Closed]: This week, the SHFE/LME price ratio climbed to around 8.4 and fluctuated, while the zinc ingot import window remained closed. From the overseas market perspective, the US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for February rose to 6 from last month's -2, significantly exceeding the market expectation of -3, marking the first expansion after 15 consecutive months of decline...

SMM February 28 News: This week, the SHFE/LME zinc price ratio rose to fluctuate around 8.4, and the zinc ingot import window closed. From the overseas market perspective, the US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for February increased to 6 from -2 in the previous month, significantly exceeding the market expectation of -3. This marked the first expansion after 15 consecutive months of decline, with strong data performance reducing risk aversion sentiment. LME zinc moved upward; however, uncertainties surrounding international developments and Trump's tariff policies led to a decline in LME zinc. Overseas inventories increased, putting pressure on zinc prices and causing LME zinc to continue its downward trend. Domestically, inventories also recorded an increase, with supply-side increments being released, while downstream consumption had not yet fully recovered. SHFE zinc opened lower with a gap and continued to decline. The expansion of Trump's tariff policies to the copper industry further disrupted the market, leading to continued downward movement in SHFE zinc. The SHFE/LME zinc price ratio rebounded. Next week, the SHFE/LME zinc price ratio is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend.

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